1. Headline Inflation

The inflation rate (IR) in Biliran Province decreased to 1.0 percent in June 2025, from 1.2 percent in May 2025. The average IR from January to June 2025 stood at 1.4 percent. Meanwhile, the inflation rate in June 2024 was higher at 4.9 percent. (Figure 1, Table A and Table B)

1.1 Main Drivers to the Downtrend of the Headline Inflation in Biliran

The downtrend in the province’s inflation in June 2025 was primarily influenced by lower year-on-year increase in housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels at 2.3 percent in June 2025 from 4.1 percent in May 2025. Food and non-alcoholic beverages came in next with faster annual decline of 1.3 percent during the month from an annual decline of 1.0 percent in the previous month. Also contributing to the downtrend was alcoholic beverages and tobacco at 2.9 percent from 3.0 percent. These commodity groups accounted for 66.6 percent, 32.8 percent, and 0.6 percent share to the downtrend in the inflation rate of the province, respectively.

On the other hand, higher year-on-year price movements in June 2025 were observed in the following commodity groups:

a. Clothing and footwear at 5.5 percent from 5.4 percent;

b. Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance at 6.9 percent from 6.3 percent;

c. Information and communication at 2.9 percent from 2.8 percent;

d. Recreation, sport and culture at 6.6 percent from 6.2 percent;

e. Restaurants and accommodation services at 2.9 percent from 2.3 percent; and

f. Personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services at 5.9 percent from 5.7 percent.

Moreover, faster annual increase was recorded in the transport group with 0.2 percent during the month from a 0.8 percent annual drop in the previous month.

Meanwhile, the rest of the commodity groups retained their respective previous month’s annual rates. (Table A)

1.2 Main Contributors to the Headline Inflation

The top three commodity groups contributing to the June 2025 overall inflation rate were the following:

a. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels with 34.0 percent share or 0.34 percentage point;

b. Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance with 29.0 percent share or 0.29 percentage point; and

c. Personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services with 26.1 percent share or 0.26 percentage point.

2. Food Inflation

Food inflation in the province recorded a faster annual drop of 1.8 percent inflation in June 2025 from a 1.5 percent annual decrease in May 2025. In June 2024, food inflation was higher at 7.0 percent.

2.1 Main Drivers to the Downward Trend of Food Inflation

The deceleration of food inflation rate in June 2025 was mainly influenced by meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals with lower year-on-year increase of 6.6 percent in June 2025 from 10.8 percent in May 2025. This was followed by vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses with slower year-on-year increase of 0.9 percent during the month from 4.3 percent in the previous month. Ready-made food and other food products not elsewhere classified also contributed to the downtrend with slower annual increment of 4.7 percent from 7.7 percent.

In addition, slower annual increment was also observed in fruits and nuts with annual increase of 9.1 percent, and in flour, bread and other bakery products, pasta products and other cereals at 2.1 percent from their inflation rates of 11.3 percent and 2.4 percent, respectively.

In contrast, higher inflation rates were observed in the following food items:

a. Fish and other seafood at 6.8 percent from 4.0 percent;

b. Milk, other dairy products, and eggs at 4.7 percent from 4.6 percent; and

c. Oils and fats at 5.0 percent from 4.2 percent.

In addition, slower annual decline was noted in rice at 17.3 percent, and in corn at 9.9 percent in June 2025 from their respective year-on-year decreases of 17.8 percent and 12.7 percent in May 2025, respectively.

Meanwhile, only the sugar, confectionery and desserts retained its previous month’s annual rate.

Approved for release:

SGD. RENAVIL V. CUEVA

Chief Statistical Specialist